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Brynjolfsson, Erik, Bharat Chandar, and Ruyu Chen
Stanford Digital Economy Lab, 9 February 2026
The authors’ follow-up tests whether interest rates and timing explain the entry-level decline. It adds caution around the earliest years while finding that interest rates do not explain the disproportionate fall in AI-exposed occupations.
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Brynjolfsson, Erik, Bharat Chandar, and Ruyu Chen. 'Canaries, Interest Rates, and Timing: More on the Recent Drivers of Employment Changes for Young Workers.' Stanford Digital Economy Lab, 9 February 2026.
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Weisberg, Nate
Washington Monthly, 29 May 2026
The Washington Monthly article is the direct source for Andrew Hanson’s quoted line that entry-level roles are becoming more like mid-level roles.
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Weisberg, Nate. 'How AI Broke the Entry-Level Job.' Washington Monthly, 29 May 2026.
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Sutherland, Rory
WH Allen, 2019
The missing-rung chapter uses Rory Sutherland’s ‘doorman fallacy’: removing the visible task can also remove the less visible human value that had been travelling with it.
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Sutherland, Rory. Alchemy: The Surprising Power of Ideas That Don’t Make Sense. WH Allen, 2019. (The ‘doorman fallacy’.)
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Hanson, Andrew, and Molly Cook Escobar
Strada Education Foundation, 19 May 2026
Strada Institute for the Future of Work’s survey of nearly 1,500 executives and senior hiring leaders is the source for the chapter’s account of changing entry-level hiring and the expansion of analytical and judgement-based work expected from junior hires.
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Hanson, Andrew, and Molly Cook Escobar. ‘Entry-Level Hiring in the AI Era: What Employers Are Thinking (and Doing).’ Strada Education Foundation, 19 May 2026.
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Ide, Enrique
CEPR Discussion Paper No. 20940, 16 December 2025; revised 8 June 2026
The research foundation for the missing-rung argument: when automation removes junior tasks, it may also interrupt the everyday transfer of tacit knowledge from experienced workers to beginners.
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Ide, Enrique. ‘Automation, AI, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Knowledge.’ CEPR Discussion Paper No. 20940, 2025; revised 8 June 2026.
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Brynjolfsson, Erik, Bharat Chandar, and Ruyu Chen
Stanford Digital Economy Lab, 13 November 2025
Early large-scale evidence that employment declines were concentrated among younger workers in occupations where AI was more likely to automate than augment their tasks.
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Brynjolfsson, Erik, Bharat Chandar, and Ruyu Chen. 'Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of Artificial Intelligence.' Stanford Digital Economy Lab, 13 November 2025.
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Massenkoff, Maxim, and Peter McCrory
Anthropic, 5 March 2026
Anthropic’s early labour-market study is used in Chapters 2 and 6 to distinguish exposure from realised displacement, and in Chapter 24 for the tentative evidence that hiring of workers aged twenty-two to twenty-five has slowed in highly exposed occupations.
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Massenkoff, Maxim, and Peter McCrory. ‘Labor Market Impacts of AI: A New Measure and Early Evidence.’ Anthropic, 5 March 2026.
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PwC
15 June 2026
Chapter 4 uses the report’s analysis of more than one billion job adverts to distinguish professionalised from democratised roles. Chapter 24 uses the 2.4 million US entry-level subset, including the seven-times increase in demands for higher-level skills.
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PwC. 2026 Global AI Jobs Barometer. 15 June 2026.
All the sources, chapter by chapter