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Georgieva, Kristalina
IMF Blog, 14 January 2024
The direct source for the Chapter 23 figures that AI exposes about 40 per cent of jobs worldwide and about 60 per cent in advanced economies.
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Georgieva, Kristalina. 'AI Will Transform the Global Economy. Let’s Make Sure It Benefits Humanity.' IMF Blog, 14 January 2024.
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Mercer
Mercer, 25 February 2026
The floor-rising chapter uses Mercer’s survey to show the fear hardening: the share of workers worried that AI would take their jobs rose from 28 to 40 per cent.
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Mercer. 'Global Talent Trends 2026.' 25 February 2026.
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Ranganathan, Aruna, and Xingqi Maggie Ye
Harvard Business Review, 9 February 2026
An eight-month study inside a 200-person company, used for the uncomfortable finding that AI did not simply remove work. It increased the speed, volume and intensity of what people were expected to do.
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Ranganathan, Aruna, and Xingqi Maggie Ye. 'AI Doesn't Reduce Work, It Intensifies It.' Harvard Business Review, 9 February 2026.
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Oxford Economics
Research briefing, . and perma.cc/4F35-4NLL, January 2026
Used as a brake on the loudest employment claims. Oxford Economics found signs of disruption, but the evidence for a broad AI-driven labour-market shock was still patchy.
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Oxford Economics (May, Ben, director of global macro research). 'Evidence of an AI-driven shakeup of job markets is patchy.' Research briefing, January 2026. oxfordeconomics.com/resource/evidence-of-an-ai-driven-shakeup-of-job-markets-is-patchy/ and perma.cc/4F35-4NLL
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Bedard, Julie, Matthew Kropp, Megan Hsu, Olivia T. Karaman, Jason Hawes, and Gabriella Rosen Kellerman
Harvard Business Review, 5 March 2026
This study supplies the ‘brain fry’ numbers: more serious errors, more decision fatigue and a point at which adding another AI tool stopped helping and began making the work worse.
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Bedard, Julie, Matthew Kropp, Megan Hsu, Olivia T. Karaman, Jason Hawes, and Gabriella Rosen Kellerman. 'When Using AI Leads to “Brain Fry”.' Harvard Business Review, 5 March 2026.
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McKinsey & Company
McKinsey Global Institute, June 2023
This is where the book gets the estimate that generative AI could affect activities occupying 60 to 70 per cent of employees’ time—not necessarily whole jobs, but a great deal of what sits inside them.
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McKinsey & Company. 'The Economic Potential of Generative AI: The Next Productivity Frontier.' McKinsey Global Institute, June 2023. (The 60 to 70 percent automation figure.)
All the sources, chapter by chapter